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Frank Ammirante's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/25/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Cal Raleigh, Ronald Acuna Jr, and Isaac Paredes.
We've got a full slate of MLB action on Wednesday, giving us plenty of opportunities to find value in our home run player prop bets today. Today's hitters include Cal Raleigh, Max Muncy, Ronald Acuna Jr., Jazz Chisholm Jr., and Isaac Paredes. Each player is either swinging a hot bat or in an exploitable matchup.
The strategy behind choosing home run props involves several key factors, such as batted ball metrics, lefty-righty splits, weather conditions, and park factors. We also want to ensure we're getting a favorable price regarding betting odds. You don't want to pay inflated lines on volatile outcomes like home runs, or you can burn through your bankroll quickly.
Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Wednesday, June 25, 2025. Odds for each pick are from DraftKings Sportsbook and may change throughout the day. Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks for the best price, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also important to risk only a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since this market is volatile, so keep that in mind.
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MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/25/2025)
Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Wednesday, June 25:
- Cal Raleigh (+205)
- Max Muncy (+275)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. (+300)
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. (+310)
- Isaac Paredes (+500)
Cal Raleigh OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+205 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Raleigh is slashing .281/.386/.667 with 32 home runs in an incredible first half for the Mariners catcher. We've seen Raleigh be even more dominant in June, featuring .325/.400/.763 slash with 10 home runs. This includes six homers in his last seven games.
Cal Raleigh:
- HR in 4 straight games for the first time in his career
- 6 HRs in his last 6 games
- 5 HRs in 4 games against the Twins this season pic.twitter.com/XF9a9ECIcN— MLB (@MLB) June 24, 2025
What's good about this spot for Raleigh is that he's facing a right-hander in Joe Ryan. Raleigh has a .635 slugging percentage vs. righties this season. Ryan has also struggled against hitters who bat from the left side (Raleigh is a switch hitter), allowing a 4.70 xFIP (2.90 xFIP vs. righties).
When you consider what we've seen from Raleigh of late, combined with Ryan's struggles vs. lefties, you can understand why I'm willing to pay up for an expensive home run prop at (+205) odds.
Let's ride the wave with one of the hottest hitters in baseball and take Raleigh to hit his 33rd homer of the season.
Max Muncy OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+275 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Muncy has put up a .246/.373/.441 slash with 11 home runs in 75 games. While this looks underwhelming overall, when you consider what Muncy has done lately, you can see why he's on this list. The Dodgers veteran is slashing .317/.463/.603 with five home runs in 21 games in June. This includes a two-homer game on June 22nd.
Max Muncy’s Last 15 Games:
.341 AVG | 1.061 OPS | 2 HR | 10 RBI
Get Max Muncy in the Allstar game 🌟 pic.twitter.com/28z5jJPboz
— SleeperDodgers (@SleeperDodgers) June 24, 2025
Tonight we've got a game at the most hitter-friendly environment in baseball, Coors Field. On top of that, Muncy is facing a right-hander in Chase Dollander. The Dodgers' third baseman has a .508 slugging percentage with righties this season. Meanwhile, Dollander has given up a 2.23 HR/9 vs. lefties, demonstrating a major issue with the long ball.
With that in mind, even at an inflated price of (+275) odds, Muncy looks worth a look tonight. Expect the Dodgers to pour on runs in this spot, so let's take a chance for Muncy to go yard. Bet on the veteran to slug his 12th homer of the year.
Ronald Acuna Jr. OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+300 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Acuna has hit the ground running since returning from injury, slashing .385/.496/.692 with nine home runs in only 29 games. The Braves' superstar has homered six times in June so far. We've seen Acuna crush right-handers so far, as highlighted by a .430/.520/.756 slash with eight of his nine homers.
In 119 plate appearances since returning from the injured list, Ronald Acuña Jr. is hitting .408/.513/.735 with nine home runs and 16 RBIs in 28 games. Anyone wondering how he’d come back from his second ACL tear, the answer is: majestically. pic.twitter.com/cq2S3lJUTX
— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) June 24, 2025
That's good news because tonight, the Braves take on a righty in Clay Holmes. The former Yankee has allowed a 1.05 HR/9 to righties this season, so this looks like a relatively exploitable matchup for Acuna.
What you have to love about what Acuna is doing is how hard he's hitting the ball so far, featuring an 18.9% barrel rate and 115.5 MPH maximum exit velocity. There aren't many hitters in baseball in better form right now.
That's why we'll take the plunge on Acuna to hit his 10th homer of the season, even in a more pitcher-friendly environment in Citi Field. At (+300) odds, it's a bit expensive, but still worth a look considering what we've seen from Acuna so far this year.
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Jazz Chisholm Jr. OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+310 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Chisholm is slashing .243/.342/.457 with 10 home runs in 49 games. While these aren't impressive numbers, the former Marlin is raking in June, as highlighted by a .338/.408/.529 slash with three homers in 19 games. This includes one homer on June 19th against the Angels.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. since he returned from injury on June 3:
17 G, 21-for-60 (.350), 4 2B, 3 HR, 8 BB, 11 RBI, 9 R, 4 SB, .987 OPS pic.twitter.com/CLpNTR29UV
— Talkin' Yanks (@TalkinYanks) June 22, 2025
The reason why I like Chisholm tonight is because the Yankees are playing at Great American Ball Park, which is the most home run-friendly environment in MLB. On top of that, he will be facing a righty in Brady Singer. This is good for Chisholm because, as a left-handed hitter, he performs better versus right-handers, featuring a .500 slugging percentage.
What's more, Singer has been punished by lefties this season with a 1.34 HR/9, so there's a chance that we could see Chisholm get into one tonight.
These factors are why Chisholm is priced up at (+310) odds, in case you were wondering why he's almost shorter than +300 despite below-average season-long numbers. We'll take a shot on Chisholm to hit his 11th homer of the game in a good spot at a hitter's haven in Cincinnati.
Isaac Paredes OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+500 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Paredes is slashing .254/.360/.471 with 16 home runs in 75 games. The former Cub is better at home (.859 OPS), where he can take advantage of the Crawford boxes in Houston.
We've also seen Paredes have a strong June so far, featuring a .914 OPS with five home runs in 18 games.
Isaac Paredes touches down in the Crawford Boxes for a #walkoff home run! pic.twitter.com/JN6L8FjVhH
— MLB (@MLB) May 14, 2025
I like targeting Paredes here because we're getting a bit of a discount at (+500) odds. He's got a tough matchup against Zack Wheeler, but given how Paredes has performed at home, I'm willing to take advantage of this favorable price.
It's also worth noting that, according to Baseball Savant, this hitter has been above average in xwOBA in his last 100 plate appearances. This means he's starting to make harder contact at a higher rate.
With that in mind, let's take a shot on Paredes to hit his 17th home run of the season.
Thanks for reading and for checking out all of our MLB betting content at RotoBaller! Make sure to manage your bankroll responsibly, especially on home run props, since they're a tough market to win in.
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